Copa Chile 1/16
Global 3-4
Santiago Wanderers vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
DLS
3 - 1
SWA
17%
21%
62%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
OHI
1 - 0
SWA
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
SWA
0 - 0
OHI
42%
24%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SWA
0 - 0
ANT
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
ANT
0 - 0
SWA
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
DLS
3 - 1
SWA
17%
21%
62%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CON
4 - 0
DLS
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DLS
2 - 1
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
COB
2 - 3
DLS
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
DLS
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |