Apertura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 1-8
Santiago Morning vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
UCO
4 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
21%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
OHI
3 - 2
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSD
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
DLS
1 - 4
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
UCO
4 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 2
UCO
39%
26%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCH
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |