Clausura Finals Semi-finals
Global 3-8
Santiago Morning vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
ACS
2 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 2
ACS
38%
23%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2009 |
IQU
2 - 1
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
IQU
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
OHI
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
EVE
0 - 2
UCO
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
UCO
4 - 1
UCO
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
UCH
2 - 3
UCO
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
UCO
3 - 0
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |