Santiago Morning vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
NUB
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
HUA
1 - 3
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
UCO
35%
26%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
SWA
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
USF
0 - 2
SWA
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
USF
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
USF
1 - 2
NUB
54%
24%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
HUA
2 - 2
USF
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
USF
0 - 3
UCH
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |