Santiago Morning vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
USF
1 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
NUB
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
COQ
1 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
COB
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CUR
2 - 0
SAN
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
VAL
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DLS
1 - 2
SAN
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
ULC
52%
25%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |