Santiago Morning vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
COQ
1 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
COB
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
IBE
1 - 4
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAG
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NUB
1 - 3
CSD
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
NUB
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NUB
0 - 0
DLS
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
USF
1 - 1
NUB
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NUB
2 - 0
COB
45%
26%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |