Santiago Morning vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAN
54%
23%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
COQ
2 - 1
SAN
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 3
CDM
74%
15%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
CDM
0 - 4
SAN
23%
22%
56%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
MAG
1 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAG
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
MAG
4 - 0
DMQ
64%
20%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
DMQ
0 - 2
MAG
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
NTA
0 - 1
MAG
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |