Santiago Morning vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 6
SAN
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
PUE
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NTA
0 - 1
SAN
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAR
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAN
16%
22%
62%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAG
1 - 3
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NUB
2 - 0
MAG
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAG
2 - 2
CUR
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 0
MAG
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAG
0 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -2 |