Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Santiago Morning vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
MAG
0 - 1
SAN
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ACS
5 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
UCH
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
IQU
4 - 2
SAN
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
DLS
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
MAG
0 - 1
SAN
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MAG
1 - 1
DCO
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
COQ
2 - 1
MAG
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
MAG
1 - 1
ANT
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
EVE
2 - 1
MAG
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |