Santiago Morning vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
CUR
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
DCO
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAN
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LOT
2 - 1
NTA
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LOT
1 - 2
BAR
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
LOT
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
COQ
2 - 1
LOT
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LOT
1 - 0
USF
16%
26%
58%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |