Santiago Morning vs Deportes Limache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
15º
10º
36
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 40 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 31 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
45.5% | 65.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
54.5% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
JOA
0 - 0
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
DSC
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CUR
2 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 2
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Limache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
LIM
39%
24%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 2
BAR
52%
24%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 1
LIM
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 3
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 2
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |