Santiago Morning vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
15º
10º
59
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 40 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 36 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 34 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
95.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
37.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 0
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
DER
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DLS
0 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 1
UCO
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DLS
1 - 2
SWA
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DLS
1 - 0
MAG
28%
26%
45%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ANT
0 - 1
DLS
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 0
DLS
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
DLS
1 - 0
DEP
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |