Santiago Morning vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
UCO
3 - 0
SAN
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
UCO
12%
17%
71%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
DEP
23%
24%
52%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DLS
2 - 1
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
IBE
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
SWA
2 - 1
DLS
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
DLS
3 - 1
SWA
17%
21%
62%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CON
4 - 0
DLS
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DLS
2 - 1
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
COB
2 - 3
DLS
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |