Santiago Morning vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
CUR
1 - 1
SAN
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
SWA
0 - 1
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 1
UCH
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
EVE
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DLS
3 - 2
CSL
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
DLS
4 - 2
ACS
33%
24%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 0
DLS
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 4
DLS
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DLS
0 - 1
UCO
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |