Santiago Morning vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CDM
1 - 5
SAN
37%
25%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 5
ACS
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CDP
0 - 1
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
UNI
4 - 3
SAN
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
PAL
0 - 1
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
DLS
3 - 0
PAL
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
COL
3 - 0
DLS
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
DLS
1 - 3
OHI
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
OVA
0 - 0
DLS
23%
21%
56%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
CDP
1 - 2
DLS
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |