Santiago Morning vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
USF
2 - 3
SAN
53%
26%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
PUE
49%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +3 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
CSL
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
COQ
4 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
VAL
3 - 2
CDM
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 1
CDM
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
CDM
1 - 0
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
NTA
2 - 1
CDM
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CDM
2 - 2
DER
42%
24%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |