Santiago Morning vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
ACS
2 - 0
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 1
CDP
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
COB
3 - 4
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 2
CSL
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
UCH
1 - 2
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CDM
0 - 1
ANT
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
PAL
2 - 1
CDM
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CDM
2 - 4
HUA
33%
26%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CSD
0 - 1
CDM
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
CDM
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |