Santiago Morning vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAN
16%
22%
62%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
COQ
82%
13%
6%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
COB
2 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 3
UCO
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 4
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 0
MAG
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 0
MEJ
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
IBE
1 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FVC
0 - 0
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MEJ
2 - 3
BAR
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |