Santarcangelo vs Sangiustese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
MAT
35%
27%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
OLY
1 - 1
SAN
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
AVE
67%
20%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GIU
2 - 1
SAN
18%
23%
58%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sangiustese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 1
SAN
64%
19%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAN
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 4
MAT
23%
22%
55%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
OLY
0 - 0
SAN
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |