Santarcangelo vs Maceratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 3
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAN
48%
28%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
FCS
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
ASG
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
TER
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 0
MAC
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 3
MAC
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 1
BV5
45%
27%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
MAC
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |