Santarcangelo vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SAV
2 - 1
SAN
29%
23%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
REC
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 0
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
JES
0 - 0
REC
28%
26%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
JES
1 - 0
SAN
28%
23%
48%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
JES
66%
19%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
JES
0 - 0
FRA
28%
26%
47%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
JES
61%
23%
16%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |