Santarcangelo vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
48%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
RIM
2 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 1
SAN
42%
28%
30%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FAN
1 - 1
SAN
30%
28%
43%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
FCC
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAS
59%
22%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
FCC
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
REN
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAV
2 - 0
FOR
45%
26%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PRO
0 - 0
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
RIM
62%
21%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |