Santarcangelo vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SAV
2 - 0
SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
TRE
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 2
SAN
42%
28%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
6 - 0
VAL
75%
18%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACD
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CUN
2 - 0
CAS
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 0
USP
45%
26%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |