Santanyi vs CD Migjorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
12º
9º
7
14º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 69 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 68 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 68 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 57 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 49 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 49 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 48 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 43 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 41 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 39 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
55% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 24 |
17º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
7 | 16 |
18º
|
85% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santanyi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SNF
3 - 0
ALC
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LLO
0 - 0
SNF
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
SNF
23%
23%
55%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SNF
2 - 0
FLN
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SDF
3 - 3
SNF
58%
23%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Migjorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MJG
3 - 0
CAM
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FLN
1 - 0
MJG
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MJG
0 - 2
SDF
12%
21%
68%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PBL
3 - 0
MJG
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MJG
0 - 3
CLL
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |