Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-4
Deportivo Santaní vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Santaní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2019 |
EQU
2 - 0
SAN
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 3
LIB
23%
25%
53%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CCP
3 - 2
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 3
AME
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 6
OLI
10%
19%
71%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2019 |
EQU
2 - 0
SAN
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
EQU
3 - 1
BUC
47%
28%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
JAG
1 - 1
EQU
27%
30%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
EQU
0 - 1
ENV
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
EQU
2 - 2
AGU
52%
27%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |