Santana vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
50.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SEC
0 - 1
IAP
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
SEC
63%
19%
19%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
SEC
1 - 1
ECM
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
GAS
3 - 0
SEC
72%
15%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
SEC
1 - 2
GAS
31%
22%
48%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
ECM
2 - 6
SPM
42%
25%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
SPM
1 - 1
TDC
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
SPM
1 - 1
YAP
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SPM
1 - 2
YAP
32%
23%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
YAP
1 - 1
SPM
49%
25%
27%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |