Santana vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
51%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
TDC
3 - 2
SEC
63%
20%
17%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
TDC
3 - 0
SEC
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
YAP
5 - 0
SEC
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SEC
3 - 4
SPM
28%
21%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SEC
0 - 1
IAP
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
ORC
0 - 1
IAP
27%
22%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ORC
1 - 3
GOI
5%
12%
83%
|
32 | 77 | 45 | -13 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
1 - 0
SEC
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
1 - 1
IAP
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
YAP
0 - 1
ORC
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |