Série D Brazil Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 1-5
Santana vs GA Sampaio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
47.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
YAP
2 - 0
SEC
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
SEC
1 - 2
YAP
28%
21%
51%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
SEC
1 - 0
SAN
22%
20%
58%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 2
SEC
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
SEC
4 - 0
ECM
33%
22%
45%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
GA Sampaio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
GAS
30%
21%
49%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
GAS
1 - 0
SAO
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
GAS
2 - 0
RIO
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
NAU
0 - 2
GAS
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
GAS
69%
17%
15%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |