Santana do Campo vs Alcaçovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana do Campo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 0
SCA
83%
11%
5%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SCA
0 - 4
EST
33%
23%
44%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
4 - 1
SCA
60%
20%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SCA
3 - 0
OUT
11%
18%
72%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
POR
3 - 0
SCA
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Alcaçovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
FCO
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAN
4 - 1
ALC
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 2
COR
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
POR
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
ALC
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |