Santacruzense vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 3
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
VOT
0 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAT
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TAU
4 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
MAT
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SJS
2 - 1
SAO
36%
26%
39%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 2
NOR
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 3
COT
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 1
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |