Santacruzense vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GRÊ
3 - 0
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
30%
25%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
VOT
2 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
INT
1 - 0
PRI
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PRI
2 - 0
FLA
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
PRI
0 - 0
ITA
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 1
PRI
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 2
PRI
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |