Santacruzense vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
SEP
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
VEL
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
PEN
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
PEN
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
FER
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 2
PEN
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |