Santacruzense vs Palmeiras II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
ATL
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
RBB
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SEP
2 - 1
AME
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
SEP
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
SEP
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SEP
3 - 1
GRÊ
19%
20%
61%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
SEP
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |