Santacruzense vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 2
SAN
64%
20%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
PEN
24%
24%
53%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 1
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
AUD
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MON
4 - 2
ATL
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
RIO
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |