Santacruzense vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TAU
4 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 0
SAN
60%
21%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
POR
11%
18%
71%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIO
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
MAT
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 1
JUV
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
4 - 0
AGU
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +3 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
5 - 2
MAT
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
6 - 0
TUP
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |