Santacruzense vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
BAT
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 1
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
0 - 1
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BEB
0 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 0
OSV
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
2 - 1
FRA
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 2
BAT
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 3
PEN
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |