Santacruzense vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
50.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BAT
4 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COT
3 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
AME
1 - 3
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
FLA
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
MIR
26%
25%
48%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MIR
3 - 0
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
SAO
42%
26%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
RBB
1 - 0
FER
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 1
FER
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |