Santacruzense vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRÊ
25%
23%
52%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AUD
1 - 2
SAN
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
JUV
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
FER
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AUD
3 - 1
FER
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
ATL
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |