Santacruzense vs Fernandópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
VOC
3 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
PEN
12%
19%
70%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TUP
3 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
TAN
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 3
ASS
43%
26%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
TAN
46%
23%
32%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FER
2 - 5
VOC
30%
29%
42%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
FER
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
TUP
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BEB
2 - 0
FER
50%
25%
25%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |