Santacruzense vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
RBB
1 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
FER
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRÊ
25%
23%
52%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 1
RIO
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAP
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 2
RBB
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
CAP
60%
21%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 0
CAT
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |