Santacruzense vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+179%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
SEP
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
ATL
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 3
ATL
34%
25%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RBB
0 - 1
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SEP
2 - 1
AME
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 0
UNI
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
AUD
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |