Santacruzense vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COT
3 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
AME
1 - 3
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
FLA
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 1
SAN
64%
20%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
IND
2 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AGU
0 - 1
RIO
44%
23%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 2
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 0
JUV
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
COT
0 - 1
AGU
27%
25%
49%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
3 - 1
MAT
46%
23%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |