Santa Tecla vs Once Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
12º
8º
31
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
65% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
CHA
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
FIR
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 2
MET
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
CDD
2 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 0
ONC
36%
29%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ONC
0 - 0
FAS
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ONC
2 - 0
JOC
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 1
CDP
36%
28%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 1
ONC
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |