Santa Tecla vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
11º
11º
39
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
AGU
28%
28%
45%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 3
FIR
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MET
0 - 1
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 0
SAN
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 1
SAN
13%
20%
68%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
4 - 0
MUN
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 0
JOC
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 0
FUE
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FIR
2 - 0
MUN
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 1
MUN
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |