Santa Tecla vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
11º
11º
39
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
AGU
28%
28%
45%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 3
FIR
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MET
0 - 1
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 0
SAN
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 1
SAN
13%
20%
68%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
4 - 0
MUN
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 0
JOC
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 0
FUE
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FIR
2 - 0
MUN
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 1
MUN
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |