Santa Tecla vs Juventud Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 3
SAN
53%
23%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 3
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
ATL
64%
21%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 3
SAN
53%
23%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 3
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 0
FAS
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
JUV
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 1
AGU
65%
20%
14%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |