Santa Tecla vs Juventud Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CDD
1 - 0
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
UES
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
FAS
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
AGU
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 0
JUV
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 4
MET
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CDD
1 - 2
JUV
47%
27%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |