Santa Tecla vs Juventud Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
ONC
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FAS
4 - 1
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
AGU
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 2
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
6 - 1
MET
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
FIR
42%
27%
32%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 4
MET
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |