Santa Tecla vs CD Fuerte San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
11º
11º
17
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FAS
5 - 1
SAN
60%
24%
17%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
CDD
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 4
MUN
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
AGU
28%
28%
45%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Fuerte San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FUE
2 - 0
JOC
17%
23%
59%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 1
MET
15%
25%
59%
|
27 | 68 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
FIR
1 - 0
FUE
71%
20%
9%
|
27 | 68 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 1
AGU
15%
27%
58%
|
26 | 68 | 42 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 1
FUE
67%
22%
12%
|
25 | 65 | 40 | +1 |