Santa Tecla vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
8º
12º
12º
37
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
FUE
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 18 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 1
SAN
62%
23%
16%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
ALI
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
JOC
3 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
MET
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
3 - 3
FIR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FIR
2 - 1
FUE
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 18 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FIR
1 - 0
JOC
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
FIR
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 2
FIR
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |