Santa Tecla vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MET
3 - 3
SAN
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FIR
2 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
MET
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
FAS
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 0
TIJ
21%
25%
53%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FIR
1 - 1
AGU
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
FAS
0 - 3
FIR
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
FIR
1 - 0
ALI
40%
26%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
FIR
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |